Internet Edition. November 9, 2008, Updated: Bangladesh Time 12:00 AM 
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GM, Ford investors brace for deep losses



Reuters, Detroit



General Motors Corp and Ford Motor Co posted more than $27 billion of net losses in the first half of 2008 - and that was before a deepening economic slowdown pushed industry sales beyond 15-year lows.

What either automaker will report for an encore in the third quarter could be overwhelmed by the potential merger of Chrysler LLC into GM or various other scenarios of some or all of the Auburn Hills, Michigan automaker being sold.

Both are expected to post dismal third-quarter results on Friday, capping off a disastrous week that started with reports that US auto sales plunged to the lowest annualized rate in a quarter century in the first month of the fourth quarter.

Analysts on average expect GM and Ford to post losses of roughly $2 billion each for the third quarter excluding one time items, according to Reuters Estimates.

Cash flow remains key to investors, who saw GM stock fall to a 58-year low and Ford stock to a more than quarter century low in October, as does US consumer confidence, which fell to a record low in October.

A deal to unite GM and Chrysler hit a wall after the Bush administration last week ruled out funding it, leaving any merger between the companies contingent on federal aid under the next administration, people familiar with the talks said.

October sales fell from bad to worse amid the financial sector failures that forced a $700 billion bailout plan in the United States and numerous props for banks in other countries.

'Auto companies just don't make money in a recession,' Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said in an October note to clients referencing the slowdown in European automaker results that is just as relevant for US companies.

While the talks between GM and Chrysler owner Cerberus Capital Management LP have taken most of the spotlight, Ford also has had discussions with policymakers about the challenges facing the industry and the automaker.

'We just want to make sure we continue that ongoing dialogue and make sure that whatever happens there is a degree of parity,' Mark Fields, Ford's president of the Americas, told reporters last week.

Ford earlier in 2008 said it would accelerate plans to bring European-designed cars to North America and convert some pickup truck plants to car production. It is expected to provide a business plan update on Friday.

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