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Internet Edition. December 5, 2007, Updated: Bangladesh Time 12:00 AM |
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Pakistan, the next big test Md. Monirul Islam While I was in greater concentration to read the article published in "The New York Times" on November 18, 2007 by name as "Pakistan's Collapse, Our Problem" by FREDERICK W. KAGAN and MICHAEL O'HANLON, my sense of organ firstly didn't deem what is to be read out. Here a sovereign country's existence has been shown as so silly that writers of this article have demonstrated it in their writing; as if the sovereignty of Pakistan were borrowed outer one for paying it when the owner like U.S will demand. And if the borrower doesn't do that, he must be obeyed as directed by this owner of sovereignty. Writers proclaim we do not intend to be fear mongers. Pakistan's officer corps and ruling elites remain largely moderate and more interested in building a strong, modern state than in exporting terrorism or nuclear weapons to the highest bidder. But then again, Americans felt similarly about the shah's regime in Iran until it was too late. Their intention, admiring Pakistan elite class to say moderate, is more likely forged to grab Pakistan's nuclear technology under their occupation. They have blamed Iran, but Iranian country's current overall scenario mainly their successful or peaceful operation of nuclear technology has been either tremor or jealousy. The article also reveals the most likely possible dangers are these: a complete collapse of Pakistani government rule that allows an extreme Islamist movement to fill the vacuum; a total loss of federal control over outlying provinces, which splinter along ethnic and tribal lines; or a struggle within the Pakistani military in which the minority sympathetic to the Taliban and Al Qaeda try to establish Pakistan as a state sponsor of terrorism. A thing is to be taken in mind, if Pakistan is collapsed, not extremists' ascendancy but U.S process of intervention would be sited. U.S, in the name of tearing down terrorists, will show their interest or inclination to raze Islamic forces or parties in the country because of the shake shown by S. P Huntington in his famous writing, The Clash of Civilization in Foreign Affairs Journal in 1996 as written Islam will be the threat to west. If that's so, Pakistan would be shaped likewise another Iraq or Afghanistan. U.S targets on controlling over Pakistan psychically; writers, in this parlance, in their writing have calculated the size of Pakistan in such way that all possible military initiatives to avoid those possibilities are daunting. With 160 million people, Pakistan is more than five times the size of Iraq. It would take a long time to move large numbers of American forces halfway across the world. And unless we had precise information about the location of all of Pakistan's nuclear weapons and materials, we could not rely on bombing or using Special Forces to destroy them. To make their views valid, writers' propagation is to locate under rule-of thumb. They disclosed that rule-of-thumb estimates suggest that a force of more than a million troops would be required for a country of this size. Thus, if we have any hope of success, we would have to act before a complete government collapse, and we would need the cooperation of moderate Pakistani forces. What a game would be played for the next has probably been completed through this calculating process. Two writers suggest U.S government to do to make world public consent in their favor through writing this article. They want to control over Pakistan earlier, if Pakistan is not collapsed, their mean inclination would not be executed in this moment because it is high time. Writers of this article have shown their audacity to suggest in such a manner that a second, broader option would involve supporting the core of the Pakistani armed forces as they sought to hold the country together in the face of an ineffective government, seceding border regions and Al Qaeda and Taliban assassination attempts against the leadership. This would require a sizable combat force - not only from the United States, but ideally also other Western powers and moderate Muslim nations. Pakistan is a sovereign country and no country can aspirate to rule this country jointly with the military of Pakistan. It is the naked clout to the sovereignty of an independent country, isn't it? It seems to me, if a viable government in place of U.S patronized military government or any force comes to power through upcoming election of Pakistan, all sorts of extremism's impetus would be lapsed. This article also reveals we would also have to be wary of internecine warfare within the Pakistani security forces. Pro-American moderates could well win a fight against extremist sympathizers on their own. But they might need help if splinter forces or radical Islamists took control of parts of the country containing crucial nuclear materials. The task of retaking any such regions and reclaiming custody of any nuclear weapons would be a priority for our troops. This phase makes a notion; they are hesitated with the likelihood internecine warfare within the Pakistani security forces. What's their shilly-shallying in this regard? No one can imagine pro-American moderates within security forces and even within nation in Pakistan might be surfaced. In fact, U.S has accomplished to sow the seeds of pro-American moderates inside the security forces and people, who might be considered the 'stockjobber' in a sense. Writers of this article have disclosed camouflaged character of U.S in generating 'stockjobber' in Pakistan doing for U.S. Lastly, writers said the great paradox of the post-cold war world is that we are both safer, day to day, and in greater peril than before. There was a time when volatility in places like Pakistan was mostly a humanitarian worry; today it is as much a threat to our basic security as Soviet tanks once were. We must be militarily and diplomatically prepared to keep ourselves safe in such a world. Pakistan may be the next big test. Pakistan, according to them, is regarded as the threat as emerged Soviet Union in cold war period. In this perspective, an announcement is well enough; Pakistan is not there, where Soviet Union was in terms of military prowess, diplomatic bargain and overall economic and political scenario. The target to intervene Pakistan in the name of saving security and its military and diplomatic preparation are the endeavor of nothing else dominion not only over Pakistan but all Muslim countries in the world. Their final annunciation Pakistan may be the next big test, but seeming to me, U.S may be… for Pakistan and rest of the Muslim world.
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